Schedule Risk Analysis

Schedule risk analysis tests whether a programme's dates are realistic by modelling the uncertainty in durations, logic and risk events. Instead of a single fixed finish date, it gives a range of outcomes and the confidence attached to each. Project Scheduling provides quantitative schedule risk analysis for construction and mining programmes across Australia, so you know how likely the plan is to hold before you commit to it.

When You Need It

A deterministic programme shows one date and hides the risk behind it. Schedule risk analysis matters when the completion date carries real consequences: a tender commitment, a shutdown window, a contractual milestone, or a board decision. It shows whether the date is achievable, how much contingency it needs, and which activities drive the risk.

What It Tells You

  • The probability of hitting the target date, and the date at a given confidence level

  • The contingency required to reach an acceptable confidence

  • The activities and risk events that contribute most to the exposure

  • Where the critical path is most vulnerable to slippage

  • Whether the current float genuinely protects completion

How It Is Done

Quantitative schedule risk analysis runs a Monte Carlo simulation over the programme, varying activity durations across their likely ranges and applying discrete risk events. The result is a probabilistic forecast, a distribution of possible completion dates with confidence levels, built on a schedule that has first been checked for sound logic and quality.

From Analysis to Live Monitoring

A one-off analysis is a snapshot. ProjectPulse carries the same probabilistic forecasting into live delivery, so the confidence position updates as the project progresses rather than sitting in a report.

Independent and Sector-Specific

Project Scheduling works across mining, heavy industrial, civil, infrastructure and commercial construction programmes. The analysis is independent and delivered directly, so the numbers reflect the real risk, not a comfortable answer.

Know the real odds on your completion date and the contingency it needs. Let us run the numbers on your programme.

Discuss Your Schedule Risk